Tool
Decision entropy
When options keep flipping, entropy tells you whether you are short on information or already able to decide.
What it solves
- Going back and forth between A and B
- Not knowing whether the problem is too few options or too little information
- Wanting to quantify whether "thinking longer" is worth it
How to use it
- 1. List your options
- 2. Estimate probability and cost for each
- 3. Read the entropy and decide whether to gather more or commit
What you will see
- Entropy per option with a ranking
- How much of the hesitation is information versus cost
- How much more information would justify waiting
- A concrete next step
FAQ
Is high entropy bad?
High entropy means the options are hard to separate right now; low entropy means they are already separable. It is a scale, not a verdict.
Do I need real probabilities?
Start with your own estimate; the tool accounts for cost and information volume as well.
Is this related to fortune-telling?
No. It is a decision-science calculator over the numbers you enter.